This page summarises some of the main projects that I lead.

Towards Approaches for Multi-Outcome Risk Prediction

2020 - 2023

This project is funded by an MRC-NIHR Methodology Research Panel award, and seeks to investigate and develop statistical methodology for developing and validating clinical prediction models (CPMs) for predicting multiple outcomes simultaneously. CPMs are models or algorithms which take a collection of a patients characteristics (e.g age, blood pressure, family disease history) and produces an output of the likelihood of an event happening, for example the risk of developing type 2 diabetes. The majority of CPMs available are only designed to calculate a patients risk for one particular disease. This project aims to model a whole patient pathway and predict the likelihood of someone developing multiple outcomes simultaneously, using one CPM.